← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 20, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 65% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 21% | 5.00 |
| St Truiden win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Genk −1.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟥 | Shogo Taniguchi · St Truiden |
| 18' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 31' | ⚽ | Jarne Steuckers · Genk |
| 34' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 45' | ⚽ | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
| 48' | 🟨 | Louis Patris · St Truiden |
| 58' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 59' | 🟨 | Matte Smets · Genk |
| 74' | 🟨 | Billal Brahimi · St Truiden |
| 74' | 🟨 | Bruno Godeau · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Billal Brahimi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 141.00 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| 90' | 🟥 | Billal Brahimi · St Truiden |
| 49.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1654.92 | 1532.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.01 | 27.57 |
| eye test v1 | 2.42 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.91 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 67.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 25.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 14.80 | 13.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.08 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.99 | 0.25 |
| solidity v1 | 0.75 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | 1.16 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.87 | 1.49 |