← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Dender win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Club Brugge −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.79 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Joedrick Pupe · Dender |
| 21' | 🟨 | Aurelien Scheidler · Dender |
| 65' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Kakou · Club Brugge |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jordy Soladio · Dender |
| 90' | 🟨 | Senna Miangue · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordy Soladio · Dender |
| 90' | 🟥 | Jordy Soladio · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 779.00 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| 171.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1588.24 | 1509.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.40 | -8.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.50 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 24.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 0.09 | 13.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.54 | -0.46 |
| solidity v1 | 0.14 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 22.92 | — |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.41 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | — |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.63 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.23 |