← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 6, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 57% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Standard win | 19% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Jan-Carlo Simic · Anderlecht |
| 30' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ibe Hautekiet · Standard |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jan-Carlo Simic · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Killian Sardella · Anderlecht |
| 90' | ⚽ | Anders Dreyer · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 35.00 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| 279.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1709.90 | 1471.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.13 | -5.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 2.78 | 7.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | -0.65 |
| solidity v1 | -0.34 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 24.89 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.26 |