← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: S. Bourdeaud'hui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Kortrijk win | 19% | 5.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Kortrijk +0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Christopher Baah · Genk |
| 16' | ⚽ | Nacho Ferri · Kortrijk |
| 18' | ⚽ | Nacho Ferri · Kortrijk |
| 26' | 🟨 | Brecht Dejaegere · Kortrijk |
| 33' | 🟨 | Christopher Baah · Genk |
| 54' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Kortrijk |
| 78' | 🟨 | João Silva · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 278.00 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| 126.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1406.94 | 1670.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.62 | 52.13 |
| eye test v1 | -1.25 | 2.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.64 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.79 |
| league points | 9.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 2.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 19.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | 1.83 |
| solidity v1 | -0.30 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 7.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 8.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.21 |
| state index | -1.13 | 1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.65 | 2.79 |