← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 28, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 49% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| Dender win | 25% | 3.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Dender +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Samuel Edozie · Anderlecht |
| 46' | 🟨 | Karol Fila · Dender |
| 52' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Dender |
| 82' | 🟨 | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jasper Van Oudenhove · Dender |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tristan Degreef · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dembo Sylla · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dender | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 150.00 |
| venue | DENDER Football Complex |
| 27.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1495.88 | 1701.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.72 | -25.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.75 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.99 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.79 |
| league points | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 2.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.88 |
| solidity v1 | -1.02 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.72 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 1.84 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.34 |