← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 28, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Standard win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Standard +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jordan Bos · Westerlo |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sinan Bolat · Westerlo |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Andi Zeqiri · Standard |
| 64' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Josimar Alcócer · Westerlo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Aiden O'Neill · Standard |
| 75' | 🟨 | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alfie Devine |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| coach days | 271.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| 150.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1481.76 | 1517.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.50 | -9.10 |
| eye test v1 | -1.26 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.37 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| league points | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.07 | -0.48 |
| solidity v1 | 0.09 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.89 | — |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.24 |