← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 68% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.37 |
| Mechelen win | 14% | 7.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Genk −1.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.38 |
| Under | 31% | 3.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Aziz Ouattara Mohammed · Mechelen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Patrick Pflücke · Mechelen |
| 57' | 🟨 | Mujaid Sadick · Genk |
| 60' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk |
| 86' | 🟨 | Rafik Belghali · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 119.00 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| 332.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.38 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1664.17 | 1577.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.74 | 22.32 |
| eye test v1 | 2.38 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.76 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.51 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| league points | 22.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.87 | 0.40 |
| solidity v1 | 0.84 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 11.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | 1.28 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.91 | 1.88 |