← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Bourdeaud'hui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 43% | 2.50 |
| Club Brugge win | 32% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Mechelen −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 35' | 🟨 | Ahmed Touba · Mechelen |
| 35' | 🟨 | Warleson · Club Brugge |
| 45' | 🟨 | Erick Nunes · Club Brugge |
| 86' | ⚽ | Bas Van den Eynden · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aziz Ouattara Mohammed · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 326.00 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| 752.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1564.64 | 1575.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.01 | -43.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 44.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 6.86 | 0.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.50 |
| solidity v1 | -1.11 | -2.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 22.92 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 1.68 |