← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 15, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Mechelen win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Gent −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Franck Surdez · Gent |
| 12' | 🟨 | Daam Foulon · Mechelen |
| 31' | ⚽ | Noah Fadiga · Gent |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jules Van Cleemput · Mechelen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jules Van Cleemput · Mechelen |
| 45' | 🟥 | Jules Van Cleemput · Mechelen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Archie Brown · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hélio Varela · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aziz Ouattara Mohammed · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 76.00 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| 319.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1702.41 | 1572.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.56 | -4.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.42 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 14.14 | 15.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| solidity v1 | -0.31 | -1.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.13 | — |
| state index | 0.80 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 2.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.59 |