← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 31, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Beerschot VA win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Dender +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | David Hrnčár · Dender |
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Bruny Nsimba · Dender |
| 55' | 🟨 | Herve Matthys · Beerschot VA |
| 55' | 🟨 | Tom Reyners · Beerschot VA |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Herve Matthys · Beerschot VA |
| 83' | 🟨 | Antoine Colassin · Beerschot VA |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ayouba Kosiah · Beerschot VA |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kéres Masangu · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 243.00 |
| venue | Olympisch Stadion |
| 122.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1334.92 | 1518.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.32 | 12.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.43 | 0.62 |
| league points | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 5.99 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.74 |
| solidity v1 | -1.14 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| state index | -1.66 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.17 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | — |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.06 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.04 |