← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Mechelen win | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Mechelen +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 15' | 🟨 | Cheick Keita · Charleroi |
| 22' | 🟨 | Stelios Andreou · Charleroi |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jeremy Petris · Charleroi |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 40' | ⚽ | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
| 45' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 57' | ⚽ | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 79' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 85' | 🟨 | Elton Yeboah |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 25 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 304.00 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| 183.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 1.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1558.16 | 1547.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.04 | 27.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.34 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.80 | 5.86 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | -1.29 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.43 |