← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 12, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Faouzi Benchabane, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 59% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 3.90 |
| Amiens win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −1 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Pau FC −1 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Rayan Touzghar · Pau FC |
| 20' | ⚽ | Ilyes Hamache · Amiens |
| 25' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 29' | 🟨 | Daylam Meddah · Pau FC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Amine Chabane · Amiens |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Giovani Versini · Pau FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Neil Glossoa · Pau FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Fofana · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Noah Raveyre · Pau FC |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 24 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 133.00 | 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1429.34 | 1361.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.30 | -42.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.50 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| league points | 27.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.28 | -1.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |