← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 12, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Antoine Valnet, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 47% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| Clermont win | 25% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont −0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Nancy −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Jeremy Gelin · Nancy |
| 38' | 🟨 | Ivan M'Bahia · Clermont |
| 45' | 🟨 | Abdellah Baallal · Clermont |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jimmy Evans · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel Picot |
| coach days | 772.00 | 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1318.59 | 1433.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.36 | -2.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| league points | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 27.30 |
| state index | -0.83 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |