← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 12, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Thierry Bouille, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.88 |
| Laval win | 27% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Dunkerque +0.25 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over | 36% | 2.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Joseph Samb · Laval |
| 18' | ⚽ | Ethan Clavreul · Laval |
| 33' | 🟨 | Yohan Tavares · Laval |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Thomas Robinet · Dunkerque |
| 44' | 🟨 | Yohan Tavares · Laval |
| 44' | 🟥 | Yohan Tavares · Laval |
| 50' | 🟨 | Geoffrey Kondo · Dunkerque |
| 53' | 🟨 | Victor Mayela · Dunkerque |
| 58' | ⚽ | Thomas Robinet · Dunkerque |
| 87' | 🟨 | William Benard · Laval |
| 90' | 🟨 | Malick Diop |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.82 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alex Daho · Dunkerque |
| coach days | 2356.00 | 164.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1413.94 | 1502.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.23 | 31.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 15.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.63 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |