← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 12, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Azzedine Souifi, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| Le Mans FC win | 30% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC −0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Annecy −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ (pen) | Antoine Rabillard · Le Mans FC |
| 30' | 🟨 | Ben Touré · Annecy |
| 32' | 🟨 | Samuel Yohou · Le Mans FC |
| 52' | ⚽ | Antoine Larose · Annecy |
| 61' | ⚽ | Samuel Yohou · Le Mans FC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Clement Billemaz · Annecy |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alexandre Lauray · Le Mans FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Izhak Hammoudi · Le Mans FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 1686.00 | 529.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1475.10 | 1437.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.11 | 25.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.67 |
| league points | 22.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |