← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Mikael Lesage, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 37% | 2.55 |
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 36% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0 | 52% | 1.83 |
| AS Saint-Étienne +0 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Anto Sekongo · Dunkerque |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mahmoud Jaber · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 74' | ⚽ | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mathys Niflore · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Igor Miladinović · AS Saint-Étienne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Marcel Tribut |
| coach days | 158.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1491.99 | 1563.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.94 | 25.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 24.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |