← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 01:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier win | 52% | 1.80 |
| Pau FC win | 25% | 3.80 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Pau FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Rayan Touzghar · Pau FC |
| 23' | 🟨 | Rayan Touzghar · Pau FC |
| 33' | 🟨 | Cheikh Fall · Pau FC |
| 39' | 🟨 | Khalil Fayad · Montpellier |
| 41' | 🟨 | Omar Sadik · Pau FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Setigui Karamoko · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Theo Chennahi · Montpellier |
| 90' | 🟨 | Neil Glossoa · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Montpellier | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade de la Mosson |
| coach days | 249.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1458.44 | 1416.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.82 | -18.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 47.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.61 |
| league points | 24.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 11.72 | 14.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.25 | — |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |