← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 5, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Tifenn Leprodhomme, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Grenoble win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Nancy +0.25 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Walid Bouabdelli · Nancy |
| 47' | 🟥 | Nicolas Saint-Ruf · Nancy |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yadaly Diaby · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 338.00 | 765.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1428.78 | 1309.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.31 | -16.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |