← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Florent Batta, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Clermont win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Red Star −0.75 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Damien Durand · Red Star |
| 12' | ⚽ | Abdoul Kader Bamba · Clermont |
| 24' | ⚽ | Abdoul Kader Bamba · Clermont |
| 42' | 🟨 | Pierre Lemonnier · Red Star |
| 52' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Red Star |
| 68' | 🟨 | Famara Diédhiou · Clermont |
| 83' | 🟨 | Dembo Sylla · Red Star |
| 86' | ⚽ | Pierre Lemonnier · Red Star |
| 88' | 🟨 | Yoann Salmier · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Bauer |
| coach days | 509.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1429.60 | 1405.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.30 | 1.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 46.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.69 |
| league points | 27.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |