← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Brendan Roffet, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
| Amiens win | 24% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0.5 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Amiens +0.5 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Teddy Averlant · Amiens |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Louis Mafouta · Guingamp |
| 33' | ⚽ | Louis Mafouta · Guingamp |
| 36' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 44' | 🟨 | Rayan Lutin · Amiens |
| 62' | 🟨 | Yvan Ikia Dimi · Amiens |
| 71' | 🟨 | Sohaib Nair · Guingamp |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Fofana · Amiens |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alpha Sissoko · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade de la Licorne |
| coach days | 113.00 | 570.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1376.69 | 1470.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.03 | -6.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| league points | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 14.75 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |