← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Thierry Bouille, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.70 |
| Bastia win | 30% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Annecy −0.25 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Tom Meynadier · Bastia |
| 34' | ⚽ | Francois Lajugie · Annecy |
| 56' | 🟥 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 75' | 🟨 | Antoine Larose · Annecy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Axel Drouhin · Annecy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 1665.00 | 538.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1446.80 | 1381.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.24 | -23.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| league points | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |