← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Tifenn Leprodhomme, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Pau FC win | 27% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Guingamp −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Cheikh Fall · Pau FC |
| 14' | ⚽ | Louis Mafouta · Guingamp |
| 26' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 38' | ⚽ | Tom Pouilly · Pau FC |
| 39' | 🟨 | Darly Nlandu · Guingamp |
| 68' | 🟨 | Edhy Zuliani · Pau FC |
| 74' | 🟨 | Anthony Briançon · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tom Pouilly · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daylam Meddah · Pau FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Omar Sissoko |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade de Roudourou |
| coach days | 556.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1473.51 | 1425.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.66 | -28.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 45.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| league points | 19.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 88.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 4.72 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.44 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.27 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |