← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Brendan Roffet, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier win | 51% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Annecy win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Annecy −0.5 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Clement Billemaz · Annecy |
| 52' | 🟨 | Paul Venot · Annecy |
| 54' | ⚽ | Teji Savanier · Montpellier |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nathanaël Mbuku · Montpellier |
| 75' | 🟨 | Naoufel El Hannach · Montpellier |
| 87' | 🟨 | Julien Laporte · Montpellier |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Montpellier | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade de la Mosson |
| coach days | 220.00 | 1651.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1459.45 | 1454.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.51 | 17.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| league points | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.28 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.25 | — |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |