← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Mikael Lesage, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Rodez win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Grenoble −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 27' | ⚽ | Nesta Elphege · Grenoble |
| 47' | 🟨 | Loris Mouyokolo · Grenoble |
| 56' | 🟨 | Mattheo Xantippe · Grenoble |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nesta Elphege · Grenoble |
| 61' | ⚽ | Clément Jolibois · Rodez |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mathieu Mion · Grenoble |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jean Lambert Evan's Allan · Rodez |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mohamed Achi · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days |
| 310.00 |
| 1072.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1435.61 | 1439.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.60 | -12.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| league points | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |