← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Mickael Leleu, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Amiens win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Clermont −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Amine Chabane · Amiens |
| 41' | 🟨 | Yoann Salmier · Clermont |
| 41' | 🟨 | Aboubacar Lô · Amiens |
| 48' | ⚽ | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 53' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jan Mlakar · Amiens |
| 89' | 🟨 | Coleen Louis · Amiens |
| 89' | 🟨 | Siaka Bakayoko · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdoul Kader Bamba · Clermont |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Abdoul Kader Bamba · Clermont |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Abdoul Kader Bamba · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel Montpied |
| coach days | 98.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| elo | 1397.59 | 1384.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.74 | -6.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 41.70 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -11.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |