← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Antoine Valnet, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reims win | 40% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Bastia win | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Reims +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
| 23' | 🟨 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
| 25' | ⚽ | Ange Tia · Reims |
| 28' | ⚽ | Hafiz Umar Ibrahim · Reims |
| 30' | 🟨 | Mory Gbane · Reims |
| 40' | 🟨 | Nicolas Pallois · Reims |
| 49' | 🟨 | Felix Tomi · Bastia |
| 49' | 🟨 | Abdoul Koné · Reims |
| 56' | 🟨 | Zakaria Ariss · Bastia |
| 59' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ange Tia · Reims |
| 90' | ⚽ | Teddy Teuma · Reims |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Armand Cesari |
| coach days | 524.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.28 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1393.17 | 1538.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.41 | -5.25 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.54 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 1.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.22 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |