← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Geoffrey Kubler, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Red Star win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| AS Saint-Étienne +0.25 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Damien Durand · Red Star |
| 5' | 🟨 | Ryad Hachem · Red Star |
| 31' | ⚽ | Damien Durand · Red Star |
| 72' | ⚽ | Zuriko Davitashvili · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mahmoud Jaber · AS Saint-Étienne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Bauer |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 488.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1416.01 | 1550.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.77 | -28.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 88.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 3.98 | 3.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | 1.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.15 | 1.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |