← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Thierry Bouille, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Amiens win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens +0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Grenoble +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Mattheo Xantippe · Grenoble |
| 33' | ⚽ | Nesta Elphege · Grenoble |
| 59' | ⚽ | Siaka Bakayoko · Amiens |
| 61' | 🟨 | Samba Diba · Grenoble |
| 62' | ⚽ | Rayan Lutin · Amiens |
| 63' | 🟨 | Theo Valls · Grenoble |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jan Mlakar · Amiens |
| 70' | 🟨 | Teddy Averlant · Amiens |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mattheo Xantippe · Grenoble |
| 79' | ⚽ | Yadaly Diaby · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hianga'a M'Bock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 27 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade de la Licorne |
| coach days | 92.00 | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1395.51 | 1424.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.50 | 10.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.73 | 3.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -13.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |