← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Eddy Rosier, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier win | 54% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Rodez win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.75 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Montpellier −0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Jordan Mendes Correia · Rodez |
| 30' | 🟨 | Nicolas Pays · Montpellier |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jordan Mendes Correia · Rodez |
| 36' | 🟥 | Jordan Mendes Correia · Rodez |
| 46' | 🟨 | Christopher Jullien · Montpellier |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Teji Savanier · Montpellier |
| 60' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Montpellier |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Montpellier | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade de la Mosson |
| coach days |
| 213.00 |
| 1065.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 1.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1446.77 | 1452.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.17 | -12.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.76 |
| league points | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.25 | — |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |