← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Nancy win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Le Mans FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Malang Gomes · Le Mans FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alexandre Lauray · Le Mans FC |
| 57' | 🟨 | Brandon Bokangu · Nancy |
| 65' | ⚽ | William Harhouz · Le Mans FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Lucas Buades · Le Mans FC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Isaac Cossier · Le Mans FC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Nicolas Saint-Ruf · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolas Kocik · Le Mans FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Mans FC | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Marie-Marvingt |
| coach days | 487.00 | 730.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1414.28 | 1332.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.17 | -3.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |