← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillaume Paradis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Clermont win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont −0.5 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 17' | 🟨 | Abdoul Kader Bamba · Clermont |
| 36' | 🟨 | Axel Camblan · Clermont |
| 60' | 🟨 | Nicolas Parravicini · Bastia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
| 76' | 🟨 | Vital Nsimba · Clermont |
| 84' | ⚽ | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lisandru Olmeta · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Armand Cesari |
| coach days | 517.00 | 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1384.25 | 1406.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.50 | -11.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 44.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| state index | -1.08 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |