← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Tue, Oct 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Antoine Valnet, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Annecy win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Rodez −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Thibault Delphis · Annecy |
| 29' | 🟨 | Alexis Casadei · Annecy |
| 58' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Baldé · Rodez |
| 65' | ⚽ | Abdel Hbouch · Annecy |
| 76' | 🟨 | Axel Drouhin · Annecy |
| 77' | ⚽ | Raphael Lipinski · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tairyk Arconte · Rodez |
| 90' | ⚽ | Samy Benchama · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Paul-Lignon |
| coach days | 1062.00 | 1641.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1443.69 | 1467.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.31 | 20.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 3.31 | 3.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |