← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Tue, Oct 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Laval win | 31% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC +0 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Laval +0 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over | 36% | 2.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Alexandre Lauray · Le Mans FC |
| 26' | ⚽ | Martin Rossignol · Le Mans FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Thibault Vargas · Laval |
| 47' | 🟨 | Ylies Aradj · Laval |
| 67' | 🟨 | Lucas Calodat · Le Mans FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Joseph Samb · Laval |
| 86' | ⚽ | Joseph Samb · Laval |
| 90' | 🟨 | Erwan Colas · Le Mans FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 2311.00 | 484.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.09 | 4.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1423.48 | 1412.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -56.45 | 30.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| league points | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 10.31 | 4.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| state index | -1.09 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |