← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Tue, Oct 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Brendan Roffet, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Red Star win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Red Star −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Aristide Zossou · Dunkerque |
| 16' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Red Star |
| 52' | 🟨 | Alec Georgen · Dunkerque |
| 61' | ⚽ | Anto Sekongo · Dunkerque |
| 66' | ⚽ | Marco Essimi · Dunkerque |
| 76' | 🟨 | Josue Escartin · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Marcel Tribut |
| coach days | 119.00 | 484.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1470.80 | 1428.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.99 | 3.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.58 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.79 |
| league points | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 4.06 | 4.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |