← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Tue, Oct 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Mikael Lesage, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Clermont win | 28% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Clermont +0.25 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Nathanaël Mbuku · Montpellier |
| 45' | ⚽ | Abdoul Kader Bamba · Clermont |
| 62' | 🟨 | Theo Chennahi · Montpellier |
| 76' | 🟨 | Simon Ngapandouetnbu · Montpellier |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ayanda Sishuba · Montpellier |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel Montpied |
| coach days | 88.00 | 210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1407.11 | 1446.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.89 | 2.01 |
| eye test v1 | -1.08 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.40 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| league points | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 4.06 | 3.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.76 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |