← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Karim Abed, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Annecy win | 23% | 4.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne +0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Annecy +0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Antoine Larose · Annecy |
| 13' | 🟥 | Igor Miladinović · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 18' | 🟨 | Axel Drouhin · Annecy |
| 57' | 🟨 | Josué Tiendrebeogo · Annecy |
| 67' | ⚽ | Quentin Paris · Annecy |
| 71' | ⚽ | Ben Touré · Annecy |
| 90' | ⚽ | Thibault Rambaud · Annecy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 1638.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1446.38 | 1559.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.85 | -2.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| league points | 12.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 88.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 62.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | 1.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |