← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 25, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Ahmed Taleb, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Nancy win | 26% | 3.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Nancy −0.25 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Elydjah Mendy · Nancy |
| 17' | ⚽ | Rayan Bamba · Nancy |
| 22' | 🟨 | Elydjah Mendy · Nancy |
| 22' | 🟥 | Elydjah Mendy · Nancy |
| 44' | ⚽ | Bećir Omeragić · Montpellier |
| 45' | 🟨 | Theo Chennahi · Montpellier |
| 48' | ⚽ | Khalil Fayad · Montpellier |
| 63' | ⚽ | Nicolas Pays · Montpellier |
| 80' | ⚽ | Nathanaël Mbuku · Montpellier |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Montpellier | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stade de la Mosson |
| coach days | 207.00 | 724.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1436.61 | 1326.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.95 | -4.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| league points | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.72 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.25 | — |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |