← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 24, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Clermont win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.75 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Clermont −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.90 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Donatien Gomis · Guingamp |
| 39' | 🟨 | Cheick Konate · Clermont |
| 47' | ⚽ | Ilhan Fakili · Clermont |
| 65' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Clermont |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alpha Sissoko · Guingamp |
| 85' | 🟨 | Allan Ackra · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade de Roudourou |
| coach days | 541.00 | 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1475.98 | 1393.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.67 | -20.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |