← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Mon, Oct 20, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 57% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.03 |
| Amiens win | 18% | 5.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.75 | 52% | 1.84 |
| Amiens −0.75 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Coleen Louis · Amiens |
| 24' | ⚽ | Yvan Ikia Dimi · Amiens |
| 29' | 🟨 | Amine Chabane · Amiens |
| 71' | 🟨 | Yvan Ikia Dimi · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Faitout Maouassa · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel Picot |
| coach days | 719.00 | 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1348.05 | 1415.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.03 | -10.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| league points | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 17.03 | 17.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.13 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.76 | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.76 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |