← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Karim Abed, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.39 |
| Montpellier win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Montpellier −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Anto Sekongo · Dunkerque |
| 60' | 🟨 | Aboubakary Kanté · Dunkerque |
| 71' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Montpellier |
| 82' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Montpellier |
| 90' | 🟨 | Khalil Fayad · Montpellier |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade Marcel Tribut |
| coach days | 109.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1462.82 | 1423.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.55 | -14.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 14.75 | 13.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.27 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.08 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |