← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 17, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Mikael Lesage, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reims win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Rodez win | 27% | 3.48 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Reims +0.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Samy Benchama · Rodez |
| 20' | ⚽ | Octave Joly · Rodez |
| 45' | ⚽ | Keito Nakamura · Reims |
| 54' | ⚽ | Ange Tia · Reims |
| 64' | 🟨 | Abdoul Koné · Reims |
| 72' | 🟨 | Yohan Demoncy · Reims |
| 76' | 🟨 | Sergio Akieme · Reims |
| 86' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Baldé · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mathys Tourraine · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ras Zabi · Reims |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 5 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Paul-Lignon |
| 1051.00 |
| 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1452.56 | 1543.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.19 | -18.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 13.25 | 13.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.22 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |