← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Tifenn Leprodhomme, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reims win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 |
| Grenoble win | 15% | 6.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −1 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Reims −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Yadaly Diaby · Grenoble |
| 28' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 33' | 🟨 | Teddy Teuma · Reims |
| 35' | ⚽ | Keito Nakamura · Reims |
| 72' | ⚽ | Mattheo Xantippe · Grenoble |
| 80' | ⚽ | Evans Fabrice Maurin · Grenoble |
| 87' | ⚽ | Abdoul Koné · Reims |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reims | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Auguste-Delaune |
| coach days | 95.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1567.01 | 1412.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.03 | -14.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.22 | — |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |