← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Thierry Bouille, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 36% | 2.79 |
| Laval win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy +0 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Laval +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Julien Kouadio · Annecy |
| 30' | 🟨 | Quentin Paris · Annecy |
| 34' | 🟨 | Cyril Mandouki · Laval |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ylies Aradj · Laval |
| 81' | 🟨 | Clement Billemaz · Annecy |
| 90' | 🟥 | Théo Pellenard · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 3 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 31 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 1616.00 | 2286.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1437.36 | 1434.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.62 | -39.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.80 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |