← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Geoffrey Kubler, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 38% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.01 |
| Montpellier win | 31% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier −0.25 | 55% | 1.85 |
| Laval −0.25 | 45% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Montpellier |
| 27' | 🟨 | Mamadou Samassa · Laval |
| 31' | 🟨 | Naoufel El Hannach · Montpellier |
| 56' | 🟨 | Simon Ngapandouetnbu · Montpellier |
| 63' | 🟨 | Nicolas Pays · Montpellier |
| 75' | 🟨 | Victor Orakpo · Montpellier |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lucas Mincarelli Davin · Montpellier |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 2280.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1446.52 | 1423.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.12 | -25.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.73 | 3.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.90 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |