← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Faouzi Benchabane, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 54% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 |
| Amiens win | 20% | 4.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.75 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Dunkerque −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 2.03 |
| Over | 50% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Marco Essimi · Dunkerque |
| 16' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Fofana · Amiens |
| 21' | ⚽ | Marco Essimi · Dunkerque |
| 24' | 🟨 | Marco Essimi · Dunkerque |
| 34' | ⚽ | Marco Essimi · Dunkerque |
| 44' | ⚽ | Thomas Robinet · Dunkerque |
| 46' | ⚽ | Vincent Sasso · Dunkerque |
| 51' | ⚽ | Yvan Ikia Dimi · Amiens |
| 69' | 🟨 | Lenny Dziki · Dunkerque |
| 78' | ⚽ | Geoffrey Kondo · Dunkerque |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mathys Niflore |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 12 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Marcel Tribut |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ange Chibozo · Amiens |
| coach days | 88.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1448.59 | 1417.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.04 | 8.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.73 | 3.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.58 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.45 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |