← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 26, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Gael Angoula, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reims win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Nancy win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reims +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Nancy +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Nicolas Saint-Ruf · Nancy |
| 48' | ⚽ | Amine Salama · Reims |
| 50' | 🟨 | Teddy Bouriaud · Nancy |
| 68' | 🟨 | Martin Expérience · Nancy |
| 84' | 🟨 | Mory Gbane · Reims |
| 89' | 🟨 | Brandon Bokangu · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel Picot |
| coach days | 695.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1336.72 | 1561.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.29 | -16.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.52 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.22 |
| state index | -0.90 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.28 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |