← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Tue, Sep 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Laval win | 29% | 3.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval −0.25 | 50% | 1.92 |
| Pau FC −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Thibault Vargas · Laval |
| 25' | 🟨 | William Bianda · Laval |
| 29' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Pau FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Edhy Zuliani · Pau FC |
| 53' | ⚽ | Rayane Messi Tanfouri · Pau FC |
| 62' | 🟨 | Daylam Meddah · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 53.00 | 2276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 4.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1420.97 | 1455.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.00 | -16.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| league points | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |