← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Tue, Sep 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Azzedine Souifi, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Grenoble win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Le Mans FC −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Harold Voyer · Le Mans FC |
| 17' | 🟨 | Harold Voyer · Le Mans FC |
| 17' | 🟥 | Harold Voyer · Le Mans FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dame Gueye · Le Mans FC |
| 62' | 🟨 | Edwin Quarshie · Le Mans FC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Mattheo Xantippe · Grenoble |
| 85' | 🟨 | Evans Fabrice Maurin · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Martin Rossignol · Le Mans FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Mans FC | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Marie-Marvingt |
| coach days | 449.00 | 265.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1371.60 | 1423.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.91 | -12.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| league points | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 36.60 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |