← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Tue, Sep 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Dunkerque win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Guingamp −0.25 | 46% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Freddy Mbemba · Guingamp |
| 16' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 44' | ⚽ | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
| 54' | 🟨 | Íñigo Eguaras · Dunkerque |
| 81' | 🟨 | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jérémy Hatchi · Guingamp |
| 87' | 🟨 | Geoffrey Kondo · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aristide Zossou · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade de Roudourou |
| coach days | 510.00 | 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.22 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1459.39 | 1456.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.16 | -8.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 62.60 |
| rest days | 3.27 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 1.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 1.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |