← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Tue, Sep 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Antoine Valnet, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Nancy win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Nancy +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Thibault Rambaud · Annecy |
| 14' | ⚽ | Vignon Ouotro · Nancy |
| 25' | 🟨 | Ahmed Kashi · Annecy |
| 44' | 🟨 | Axel Drouhin · Annecy |
| 49' | 🟨 | Nicolas Saint-Ruf · Nancy |
| 69' | 🟨 | Vincent Pajot · Annecy |
| 72' | 🟨 | Walid Bouabdelli · Nancy |
| 78' | ⚽ | Jimmy Evans · Nancy |
| 81' | 🟨 | Thibault Rambaud · Annecy |
| 82' | 🟨 | Martin Expérience · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 1606.00 | 692.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1473.22 | 1321.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.50 | -3.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |